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COMPETITION,
ECONOMIC PROFIT, and "POLITICAL CAPTURE"
I. Competition and Economic Profit: the Traditional
View
Competition
is a major force in any economic system, but it takes a variety
of different forms, some of which are productive and others
destructive. Successful economies tend to be those that
channel competition into the creation of wealth and technical
progress, since failing this, it easily becomes a force focused
on redistribution that is wasteful and destructive of property
or even of life itself. In order to explore this issue,
we first summarize some conventional economic analysis.
Suppose
firms are earning economic profit in an industry that is perfectly
competitive---meaning, in particular, that there is free entry
and exit of firms into and from this industry. The existence
of econmic profit, which implies an above-normal return on
investment, will cause expansion of supply, not only by existing
producers, but also via entry of new competitors into the
industry. Entry and supply expansion continue until all economic
profits are competed away by the increase in supply, which
brings down product prices and also pushes the opportunity
costs of producers upward, if this is an increasing-cost industry.
The
appearance of economic profit thus plays a crucial role, acting
as a magnet to draw forth supply increases. Similarly,
the appearance of economic losses would act as a magnet that
repels supply from the industry. In the long run, either
economic profit or economic loss will disappear under perfect
competition, but its appearance in the short run (or in long-run
disequilibrium) is what makes the market work well,
by adapting supply to shifts in demand and by motivating innovation
and cost-effective production. Over the long run, what
happens out of equilibrium--or on the road to equilibrium--is
critical in determining how efficient an economy will be.
In
the graph below, let demand and short-run supply be D1
and SS initially. The more elastic long-run supply
curve is SL--more elastic, because it allows for
expansion of output via increases in capital as well as labour
and gets around any decreasing returns to scale at the enterprise
level via entry of new competitors. Equilibrium price and
quantity are P1 and Q1. Then suppose
that demand shifts upward to D2, owing to a change
in tastes. In the short run, the price rises to P2S
and quantity to Q2S. Entry of new competitors
then drives price down to P2L by raising quantity
supplied further to Q2L. Of course, something
similar would take place following an expansion of supply
resulting from an innovation that lowers production costs.
A
positive economic profit means that a firm's revenues cover
all its opportunity costs plus something extra left over for
its owners and/or managers. If investments with a certain
degree of risk yield 10% in other industries, then they would
yield more than this--say, 15%--in an industry where excess
or economic profit can be earned. It is this something
extra that attracts capital to the industry (and we note that
economic profit, here 5% of the value of an investment, is
customarily smaller than accounting profit). An industry
where investment with the same degree of risk yielded 8% would
lose capital; its economic profit is 2% of the value
of the capital invested in the firm.
II. Sources of Economic Profit
There are three
sources of economic profit: 1. The
Rent to a Market Position when there are barriers to entry
and/or exit; 2. The Rent to a Product-Specialized
Input when products are differentiated between firms and
such inputs are not mobile between firms. Such a resource
is in vertical or upward-sloping supply to the firm using
it, and no other firm uses exactly the same input or produces
exactly the same product. 3. The Return
to Entrepreneurship. Of these three, free
entry and exit will compete away all the rent to a market
position (see below), but not necessarily the rent to product-specialized
resources. Moreover, while the first two may persist
over the long-run, the return to entrepreneurship is economic
profit
or loss that arises in the short run, but disappears over
the long run. It is considered a return to entrepreneurship,
viewed as a productive input or factor of production. This
suggests a reward for daring, skill, and risk bearing, although
good fortune and good connections are often involved as well.
Moreover, even when it disappears over the long run, the appearance
of economic profit or loss in the short run can enable someone
to make or lose a fortune.
III. Competition to Claim Economic Profit
If
we ask why the rent to a market position disappears over the
long run under free entry and exit, the answer in simplest
terms is that supply expands as long as there is excess profit
to be earned and contracts whenever there are economic losses.
Economic profit or loss that appears in the short run, but
disappears over the long run acts like a magnet, attracting
resources into an industry and repelling resources from it.
When
it exists, however, economic profit in the form of rent to
a market position does not play this role because it is protected
by barriers to entry. These barriers protect
market power by protecting existing suppliers from entry of
new competitors--generally, in industries that are monopolies
or oligopolies--which implies that some firms have succeeded
in establishing exclusive claims to excess profit. They have
done this by by erecting the barriers in question, which prohibit
or limit new competition. The resulting long-run profit is
not a return to entrepreneurship, unless we are thinking of
political entrepreneurship or of other efforts to restrict
competition. The existence of rent to a market position is
a sign of inefficiency, whose signature is often the "deadweight
loss" triangle shown in many textbooks.
Similarly,
barriers to exit exist when firms unable to cover their
costs are able (or forced) to remain in an industry, and when
this can not be justified on efficiency grounds, owing to
decreasing average cost (or increasing returns to scale).
The "soft budget constraint" has been a highly effective barrier
to exit in Sovet-Type and many transition economies, as well
as in Japan and in several of the smaller Asian "tigers."
Exit barriers also give rise to deadweight loss triangles.
But
whether such a triangle gives a reasonable idea of the social
cost of monopoly is open to question. To better grasp this
and related issues, we draw on ideas from two seminal papers:
Steven Cheung, "A Theory of Price Control", Journal of
Law and Economics, April, 1974, and Richard Posner, "The
Social Costs of Monopoly and Regulation", Journal of Political
Economy, August, 1975. The Posner article is sometimes
said to be part of the "rent-seeking" literature, whose signal
article is Anne Krueger, "The Political Economy of the Rent-Seeking
Society," American Economic Review, June, 1974.
"Rent-Seeking" refers to competition to obtain "rents"--returns
to inputs over and above their opportunity costs--through
the political process.
If
we adapt the approach of Cheung in the article above to the
present context, the existence of excess profit to which no
one has an exclusive claim gives rise to two phenomena:
First,
to the extent that no one can establish an exclusive claim, the profit
will disappear. As we have seen, this happens through expansion of supply.
Second,
firms will try to prevent it from vanishing by establishing
exclusive claims to it. This would happen via erection of
barriers that limit or eliminate competition. Sometimes
these barriers are divided into two categories--"natural"
and "artificial".
A
natural barrier to entry exists when scale economies encompass
a significant share of market size, meaning that the minimum
scale of output at which a supplier's average cost reaches its
lowest level equals a significant percentage of market demand
when price equals this lowest average cost. In the figure
below, a natural barrier exists when qm is a significant
percentage of market size, QS . An artificial barrier
is one created by government or by some entity which, like government,
is able to establish and enforce this kind of property right--for
example, organized criminal gangs.
Suppose
that one or more firms succeeds in gaining protection, in
the form of barriers to entry that allow economic profit to
persist over the long run, and suppose as well that some of
these barriers are artificial. (As markets have expanded
in size with globalization, and production has become more
flexible with computerization, natural barriers have tended
to disappear or become weaker.) Whereas profit arising
purely from natural barriers is a reward for being first to
market--and could also be considered a reward for entrepreneurship--profit
protected by "artificial" entry barriers created by government
is a reward for successful lobbying or for having the "right"
political connections. As noted above, any entrepreneurship
involved occurs in the political arena, rather than the marketplace,
and it sometimes happens that firms which grow large by innovating
subsequently find it more profitable to shift to political
entrepreneurship. (Small firms have also been known to band
together to do this.)
Because
it is valuable, a protected market position that yields long-run
economic profit will be contested in some way. In order to
gain and hold on to it, the firm may have to lobby, appear
regularly before legislative hearings, hire extra legal counsel,
and make political contributions, as well as direct appeals
to the public. To maintain its monopoly, a criminal gang may
have to be prepared to battle rival gangs in the streets.
In
short, if we compare two economies--one dominated by monopolies
and the other by competitive markets--it would be wrong to
say that the latter has competition while the former does
not. Both will have competition, although in different forms.
In the economy with competitive markets, there is a better
chance that competition will be wealth-creating, provided
such an economy is also subject to the rule of law. In the
economy with monopolies, competition is more likely to be
wealth-destroying, and possibly, even destructive of life
itself.
This
is not competition in the marketplace, which works
by expanding supplies of goods buyers want more of and contracting
supplies of goods buyers want less of, as well as by encouraging
quality improvement, cost reduction, and development of new
products and production methods. Rather it is competition
to become the monopolist, or else the person who decides which
firms may have monopolies, or the person who appoints that
person, etc. It is also rent seeking, as described above.
Recall
that the presence of market power creates economic profit,
which attracts competition to claim it, when no one has exclusive
right to it. Establishing exclusive right, moreover,
may not be easy. It is often possible to contest such
a right through the political process, and, sometimes, even
via theft or violence. The struggle between the Al Capone
and Bugs Moran gangs to control the supply of alcoholic beverages
to Chicago during Prohibition was not fought out primarily
by offering better products at lower prices with better service.
Rather it was open warfare to decide who would be the monopolist
and culminated in the St. Valentine's Day massacre.
By making alcoholic beverages illegal, the government helped
to turn this market into a monopoly--since only criminal elements
could supply it--but did not resolve the question of who the
monopolist would be.
Thus
the cost of monopoly will often exceed the area of the relevant
deadweight loss triangle shown in economics textbooks. The
costs of competing to become the monopolist--and to hold on
to a monopoly position--could eat up all or part of the reward
(the monopoly profit), with some of these costs being borne
by firms that do not succeed in becoming the monopolist.
The costs in question are in addition to the standard deadweight
loss. As suggested above, such competition can be destructive
indeed. The deadweight loss triangle only gives the
cost of restricting output below the level associated with
all-around marginal cost pricing, on the assumption that the
laid-off resources are re-employed elsewhere.
As
a general rule, moreover, competition, in the sense of low
barriers to entry and exit, is a key ingredient in achieving
satisfactory long-term growth, as noted above in website article
#5 on Sustainable Growth. This is because protection
of monopoly power is often a barrier to entrepreneurship.
In particular, it often restricts the availability of finance
for sunrise sectors with growth potential and thereby lowers
intensive growth over the long run.
We
can define government as the entity with power to create or
destroy property rights that automatically apply to all residents
of the territory under its jurisdiction. Political decisions
are those that determine what these rights will be, as well
as the nature of the process that determines them. In
the present context, political competition, or rent-seeking,
refers not only (or even primarily) to electoral competition,
but also to competition between different organizations and
individuals in society to influence government decisions.
The latter competition exists in nearly all societies, but
will be more open and represent a wider, more diverse range
of views in societies that are "democratic," in the sense
of allowing universal suffrage and electoral competition between
independent political parties, which citizens are free to
form.
By
contrast, economic competition is competition within
a given property rights framework. In the above scenarios,
economic competition is productive and wealth creating, whereas
political competition is potentially destructive, and may
be the largest part of the cost of market power to society.
But
economic competition can also be destructive and political
competition in the form of rent seeking) can be productive.
Suppose that, instead of competition to supply a product that
is profitable to produce, we are dealing with competition
to exploit a scarce resource to which there is free access.
From Market and State in Economic Systems, pp.
28-32, the value of this common-property resource will be
destroyed through over-use and/or undermaintenance. The resource
itself will often be depleted prematurely. Once again,
the two basic principles expounded above are at work. First,
to the extent that no one can establish an exclusive claim
to the return (here, the rent) from the resource, this return
will vanish, in the sense of being offset by the cost of efforts
(competition) to claim it. If no exclusive claims can
be established, the over-exploited resource will have no value.
Fortunately,
in many cases, the second basic principle also comes
into play. That is, the parties involved will try to prevent
the value of the resource from disappearing by establishing
exclusive claims to it. Resources that are initially common
property will then come into private and/or public ownership,
with provision for restricting access to them, thereby preserving
at least part of their value. Many different configurations
of property rights--each with different implications for distribution--may
be able to do this, but the creation of such rights will be
wealth increasing, provided the cost of creating them is less
than the value that they preserve.
Since
lobbying and other activities of interest groups representing
producers, consumers, environmentalists, etc. may be part
of the process that shapes the new property rights, these
activities can be productive, despite the presumption in the
economic literature on rent seeking that they are always wasteful.
In particular, interest groups may play an important role
in calling attention to the need for changes in property rights
and in gathering and disseminating information, as part of
the process that shapes them. Potentially, the political
competition to establish such rights is productive, whereas
unbridled economic competition to exploit a scarce common
property resource is destructive.
What,
then, is the difference between exploiting a market position
and exploiting a scarce resource? Why is economic competition
productive in one case and destructive in the other?
A
firm or group of firms supplying a given market would like
this right of supply to be valuable, which is to say that
they would like it to be protected by barriers to competition,
which allow them to receive economic profit. These barriers
limit access to the market by other suppliers, thereby restricting
supply and keeping price above average cost. A firm's
market position then has a value to its owners or managers.
The problem is that this position has no value, as such, to
society. That is, it yields no positive marginal product in
production or marginal utility in consumption. In an
efficient world, it would therefore yield no income to its
owners, which is to say that it would have no value to them.
By
contrast, a scarce resource has a positive marginal product
or marginal utility. In an efficient world, it would
have a positive value, which must be protected by restrictions
on access to it. (By "positive value" here, I mean that
producers and/or consumers would be willing to pay for use
rights to the resource, possibly including the right simply
to view it.) Just as the rent to a market position is
vulnerable to increased competition among suppliers for access
to that market, so the rent on a resource is vulnerable to
increased competition for access to the resource. The
major difference is that the first type of competition creates
a net welfare gain for society as a whole, whereas the second
type destroys wealth and welfare.
As
an example, consider the supply of taxi services to many North
American cities vs. the systems of controlling some types
of fishing in Australia and New Zealand. These two systems
are quite similar means of preserving rent, but one protects
a monopoly, while the other protects a scarce and endangered
resource. In order to drive a taxi, an operator must
own a licence or medallion in most metropolitan areas.
Only a limited number of these licences are issued, and new
ones appear rarely, if ever. The licences in question
are a requirement over and above a chauffeur's licence and
a safety certificate for the cab. They serve to restrict the
supply of taxi services, which boosts the price of a ride
and thus the economic profit that a cab can earn. The
licences are transferable and sell for the capitalized value
of this expected future profit. They allow drivers who
sell their rights to collect all of this future profit and
to take it out of the industry now.
By
contrast, the same kind of transferable quota system for lobster
fishermen has restricted fishing off Australia and New Zealand
and successfully preserved stocks of this resource, which
therefore have value. Collectively, these licences are
worth the capitalized value of the future rent on the resource,
which is also the value of the resource. Efforts to
limit fishing off the Atlantic coast of North America have
been far less successful, with the result that stocks of several
species are rapidly depleting and earn no rent. Australian
fishermen also work less than their opposite numbers in Atlantic
Canada and New England and earn higher incomes, which include
the rent on the resource. See John Tierney, "A Tale
of Two Fisheries," New York Times Magazine, August
27, 2000.
IV. Political Capture
A
completely efficient set of property rights would maximize
the total value of an economy's resources in production and
consumption, net of the cost of establishing and enforcing
these rights. It would assign a zero value to any potential
"asset", such as a market position, without a positive marginal
product or marginal utility. An efficient society would
therefore be one with a Constitution or Basic Law that succeeds
in suppressing wealth-destroying competition, while promoting
competition that is wealth creating.
Because
of distributional considerations, however, economists usually
adopt a weaker notion of efficiency called Pareto Optimality.
In traditional welfare economics, an economy is Pareto Optimal
when it is impossible to make one person better off (that
is, with a higher utility or expected utility) without making
someone else worse off at the same time. A question
then arises as to how an inefficient outcome--in the sense
of an outcome at which a combination of taxes, subsidies,
and other changes in property rights is possible that would
make some people better off and no one worse off--could exist
in a world of rational individuals. Certainly, economists
believe that they observe inefficiency--in the form of protection
for market positions, price floors and ceilings, taxes and
subsidies, and a variety of quotas and controls--all of which
distort resource allocation or interfere with productive effort,
in order to redistribute, income, wealth, and other benefits.
Such
forms of redistribution may not always be less efficient than
others, once all related costs, including information costs,
are taken into account. Nevertheless, departures from Pareto
Optimality can occur, because some outcomes are possible,
but not politically feasible. In
this context, Political Capture occurs when an interest
group succeeds in using the public sector to inefficiently
redistribute income, wealth, and/or other benefits to its
advantage. This redistribution must be inefficient in
two ways. First, The resulting outcome is not Pareto
Optimal. Second, the cost of this redistribution to
the losers must exceed the gain to the winners. The
cost to the losers will equal the amount transferred plus
any deadweight losses owing to resulting resource misallocation
plus any costs associated with rent-seeking.
Political capture
therefore requires the sum of the latter two components to
be positive, and this could happen for several reasons.
First, the costs involved may not transparent to those who
bear them and who, in consequence, are unaware of these costs.
Alternatively, intimidation or use of force could bring such
a result to pass. A third possibility is that the benefits
of redistribution are concentrated on a relatively small number
of people, whereas the costs are widely scattered and therefore
not salient in the minds of those who bear them when the latter
make political choices. Because elections are held only
occasionally, even in a democracy, any candidate is evaluated
on the basis of many choices, which are effectively bundled
together. Under dictatorship, political choice is even
more restricted for most people. Fourth, office holders
facing periodic elections or evaluation may have short time
horizons. Finally, there is sometimes the tyranny
of the majority when the majority voting rule prevails.
A group of 50% of voters plus one may be able to impose costs
on the minority. Under non-democratic forms of government,
tyranny of the minority is possible.
Why
would an interest group seek an outcome which is not Pareto
Optimal? After all, might not some or all of its own
members benefit if a Pareto Optimal solution were selected
instead? To explain this, we must say a word or two
about the political process that generates property rights.
We borrow from a paper by Daron Acemoglu and James A. Robinson,
"Inefficient Redistribution," MIT Working Papers on Political
Economy, Cambridge, Mass., September, 1998.
Political
processes differ markedly from country to country, but we
can think of all of them as ways of mediating or adjudicating
between different interests in society, at least some of which
are often represented by lobbies or political pressure groups.
The method of balancing these interests, as well as the relative
strength of each interest in the balance, will depend on the
nature of the political system. Within almost any system,
however, an interest group will seek to acquire and maintain
political power, in the sense of an ability to influence government
decisions--laws, rules, and their application--to its advantage.
We could also say that it will seek a capacity to influence
the shaping of property rights.
To
this end, an interest group will seek not just any benefits
for its members, but rather types of benefits that are more
likely to preserve or increase its political strength in the
future. Future power and influence are important, because
a government has, at best, a limited ability to commit now
to future policy choices. Suppose a government body
grants certain firms the right to subsidies or to form and
operate a monopoly cartel in perpetuity. Nevertheless, later
on, this or another government body could find a way to weaken
or even remove this cartel. To preserve the value of
its market position, the cartel must remain politically strong.
Thus the kinds of benefits an interest group will seek will
be those which increase the size and assets of the group,
as well as its attractiveness to the kinds of members (eg.,
relatively able, well-connected, or affluent individuals)
that will augment its strength in the political arena.
Such
a group will therefore try to use the political process as
a means of attracting resources into its area of economic
activity and/or of keeping resources it already has, even
when these could be put to more productive use elsewhere.
For
example, a declining industry may lobby to restrict competitive
pressures on it or to gain subsidies that increase the demand
for its product, reduce its production costs, allow non-competitive
firms to stay open, etc. This enables it to retain resources.
Successful lobbying may even allow the industry to survive
rather than disappear altogether. It won't be
happy allowing its inputs to transfer to other sectors in
return for compensation--the standard way of getting to a
Pareto Optimal outcome--because the very effort to implement
such a solution risks costing it future size, and therefore
future power and influence. This has been a serious problem
in transition economies, where sunrise industries often have
relatively poor access to capital, which is squandered on
politically powerful but inefficient sunset industries that
waste it.
Similarly,
a labour union may try to make it harder for employers to
lay off workers who are its "insiders" or to use labour not
covered by its collective agreements. Both union and employers
may try to restrict competition from "low-wage" areas, especially
when the latter are foreign. While other types of subsidies
(including lump-sum payments to its members, in exchange for
removal of barriers) would probably be more efficient, they
may also be inconsistent with the union's or the industry's
ability to sustain its future lobbying strength, especially
if we are talking about an industry in decline.
The
above suggests that the inefficiency associated with political
capture will often be that of keeping/attracting too many
resources in politically powerful sectors, when the inputs
in question would be more productive elsewhere. Note,
however, that a firm or other entity with market power normally
benefits from this by raising the prices of goods or services
it supplies above competitive levels. The result is to restrict
demand, but from what was said above, the same entities will
try to offset this by using the political process to reduce
their costs and/or to shift product demand outward.
Because of the offset, we can not be sure that too many resources
will always be used in areas with relatively high degrees
of political (and market) power.
Indeed,
the traditional view is that, in an economy with one monopoly
and one competitive sector, too few resources are in the monopolized
sector and too many in the competitive sector, because of
barriers that prevent inputs from moving into the former.
This is the source of the standard "welfare loss from monopoly"
mentioned above, which ignores political considerations altogether.
Because of its protection, a monopoly will set a higher price
and a lower output than would a competitive industry, for
any given demand and cost curves.
But
when greater size yields net benefits, in the form of higher
future profit resulting from greater future political strength,
the traditional MC = MR solution no longer governs monopoly
price and output. Expansion of output now yields a marginal
benefit, MB, in the form of higher future profit resulting
from greater size and political influence. This is in
addition to conventional marginal revenue, MR. If MB
is calculated in current income equivalents, the monopolist
will set output where MR + MB = MC, where MC is marginal cost.
Entry barriers of some sort are still necessary to preserve
long-term gains from monopoly power, but output is now higher
and price lower than in the traditional monopoly solution,
for any given demand and cost curves.
Now
it is unclear whether the monopoly will have a traditional
triangle deadweight loss, but at least some of the resources
that it uses in political competition are likely to be wasted
from society's point of view. On balance, it is unclear
whether the monopoly sector will be larger or smaller relative
to the competitive sector than it would be under all-around
perfect competition with absence of political leverage by
either sector. In cases where declining industries are
exercising this kind of power, however, the net result often
appears to be to keep these industries inefficiently large,
as well as to waste resources in rent-seeking and, possibly,
in production as well. This waste, together with the denial
of resources to potentially emerging sectors and to entrepreneurship,
via subsidies and barriers that nourish the monopoly, may
well be the biggest cost that a monopoly--or, more generally,
a sector with political power--imposes on society.
One such subsidy is superior access to capital. In this instance,
the politically powerful sector gains relatively high access
to bank loans and/or other types of finance at relatively
low rates. This type of subsidy can often be given as well
in ways that are not very transparent. One result is
to increase the size and capital intensity of the powerful
sector, but the loans in question also finance outright graft
and waste.
By
contrast, politically weak sectors face low access to capital
at higher prices and may have to obtain investment funds or
working capital on the black or "unofficial" economy--if they
can obtain them at all--even though these inputs would be
more productive here. Black market interest rates are
generally far higher than those offered to favoured sectors.
In many economies, powerful sunset industries and other inefficient
enterprises appear to have relatively good access to loans,
which they often don't repay, while sunrise industries with
growth potential are starved of investment means. This
also stifles entrepreneurship, since venture capital is usually
in especially short supply. In addition, the obligation
to subsidize weak sectors of the economy prevents the development
of large or sophisticated financial markets.
Finally, political
capture is universal, but we might expect it to be a bigger
problem in new democracies, as opposed to established ones. Building
a successful democracy requires considerable know-how, much
of which has to be gained via trial-and-error, and more generally,
through experience. Some experience is transferable,
but new democracies are still likely to start further down
the learning curve than those with a long history of democratic
forms.
In addition, unless
democracy results from a revolution that destroys the power
of former elites, these elites may use their connections and
insider knowledge to preserve their power in the new system.
They will seek to block the emergence of new, rival elites
and may succeed in making the new system operate like the
old in many ways. Several transition countries appear
to have fallen into this trap, which results in an inefficient
quasi-democracy and quasi-market economy that stubbornly resists
further political and economic reform.

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